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RIMM Pre Announcement and Smartphones
January 18, 2011: a cold, rainy, crappy night in NYC. I am there to meet a hedge fund manager for a job interview, but he wants me to meet with another manager too so it is a dual interview. During...
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20 Technology Stocks in
I have been off the stock picking subject matter for a few weeks as there has been a lot to digest in terms of technology. For an early Friday post before a long weekend in the US, I review a few of...
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Three Dislocations: Will They Meet?
When I started this blog, we were on the eve of Q1 earnings and I thought it was prudent to get out of the way of the market. Before the long holiday weekend in the US, I wrote a quick note on 20...
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Looking at the Big Picture and Connecting the Dots
I am sitting at my desk looking at several reports on various technology companies. I think investment research; especially sell side research is often wonderfully optimistic about the future....
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11 Days to Quarter Close: What are you doing with your tech portfolio?
Eleven days until Q2 CY11 closes. We should be entering the peak spending period of the calendar year. Budgets are set and open for spending. Half the year is done and CFOs have a good feel for...
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It is Cheap for a Reason
Here is a thesis I never understand when promoted. The Bloomberg piece is here saying that RIMM should be acquired because it is cheap so Microsoft should buy the company. RIMM is cheap for reason...
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Follow-up to “11 Days to Quarter Close” Post
In the past three days there has been a number of interesting market days. Monday and Tuesday were up days, yet yesterday was a mid day reversal. I have found little to blog about on the technology...
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Writer’s Block Leads to Stock Picking…
I had dinner in NYC with an old acquaintance from my stint on the buy side. During dinner I was asked what I like long and short. Admittedly, I have been in more cash, HY credit and some gold for the...
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Equities, Technicals, Economics, CPI, Networking and other Assorted Off the...
It has been a few weeks since I posted. I have been traveling a lot (27k air miles so far in 2013) and have not found the time to write. Here are some random thoughts I have been collecting over the...
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Interesting Friday in the Market Shaping up…
I posted on GOLD to start the week and reproduced the relevant quote below. Here is my updated Gold chart. Gold is trading ~$1536 this morning. I am off GOLD, but I think I am going to short right...
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Commodity Sell Off…
Tough day to be long GOLD. It has taken out the 1437 that I wrote about last week. As predicted 1300 could happen real fast. I would not be surprised to see GOLD get to 1309 by tomorrow and then...
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Quick Equity Thoughts
I received a number of emails, tweets and so forth regarding my last network posts. I am traveling to SFO this week and that means I will have some time to write a post or two. I was in a meeting...
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Espresso and Equities
After approximately 15,000 pulled shots, I had to replace the piston the in my Pavoni home machine. I typically pull my shots ristretto style and I think over the past twelve years this abuse took a...
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Old Habits Are Hard to Avoid: Eurodollar Stresses, Chinese ATMs and a Little...
I am going to attempt to be brief as not to bore too many readers. I have been spending the last few years fully immersed in networking and building a venture backed technology company. Every now and...
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July 2013 Market Call
Here is a link to my short term SPX chart, following up on last night’s post. I did watch the market today and that was nothing to get excited about on the long side. A few wildcards to deal with: (i)...
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Updated: July 2013 Market Call
Ahead of the NFP, I prefer be short the SPX and YEN and long VOL. I am going to look for some stupid strong GOLD day and will short GOLD when I see it. I think GOLD is going to $1000. Regarding my...
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Quick Equity Thoughts…
Now that we have finished with confusing messages from the Fed week, we can move on and do some trading. I am covering my SPX short with a 800bps loss. The market will not turn down despite fund...
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Market Mea Culpa, DevOps, Opco Tech Conf and Summer 2013
My July market call did not work out. I am long some equities and long some vol (which is not working out), with a high percentage cash position. The Yen short worked. I am looking forward to the...
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Market Mea Culpa Follow-Up
This is a short post, following up on my August 8 post. On Tuesday morning, I started hearing the Cisco layoff rumors while I was at the Opco Tech Conference in Boston. I spoke to a few people at the...
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Market Thoughts Post Labor Day Weekend 2013
I recently made a market call ahead of July earnings thinking that the market might crack. I have updated my SPX chart from my July Market Call posts, which you can read here and here. I am currently...
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